B28Sicilian Defense

Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation: what should White play?

Best move

c4+0.45White is slightly better

Pawn c2 → c4

Close behind: g3 (+0.40)

Most played here: c3 (45% of games)

Analyze this position →
Games played
2.19M
To move
White
Evaluation
+0.45
Depth
25

Game counts: Lichess opening book. Move ranking and evaluation: Stockfish. How this page is built

White to playPosition before the recommended move. Green arrow: the recommended move.

One way to reach it: 1. e4 c5 2. Nf3 a6

FENrnbqkbnr/1p1ppppp/p7/2p5/4P3/5N2/PPPP1PPP/RNBQKB1R w KQkq -

Understanding the position: c4 and the alternatives

The Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation (ECO B28) arises when Black plays an early flank move with the pawn on a6, deferring development to dissuade White from entering standard Open Sicilian setups. The engine's highest-evaluated continuation is c4, which clamps down on central and queenside expansion while establishing a slight edge (+0.45). White can also steer the game toward Alapin structures with c3 or adopt classical piece play via Nc3.

The strategic merits of c4

The advance c4 appears in 14.9% of recorded games (327K recorded) and delivers a 53.2% score for White. By playing this move, White blunts Black's typical queenside ambitions involving an accelerated advance to b5 and establishes a Maróczy Bind pawn structure. An illustrative engine continuation following this choice is c4 Nc6 d4 cxd4 Nxd4 Nf6, where White opens the center under favorable conditions while retaining control over key territorial squares.

Popular alternatives with c3 and Nc3

The most frequent choice across the database is c3, chosen in 44.6% of games (978K recorded) with an engine evaluation of +0.38 and a 52.7% score. This setup frequently transposes into French-style or Alapin-style structures, as shown in the sequence c3 e6 d4 d5 e5 Nc6. Meanwhile, developing the knight with Nc3 is seen in 30.5% of games (669K recorded) with a +0.27 evaluation and a 49.3% score, though the sample line Nc3 e6 d4 cxd4 Nxd4 b5 highlights Black's immediate use of the early pawn push to contest queenside space.

Kingside development options

White also has quieter developing moves such as g3, selected in 5.4% of games (119K recorded) with a +0.40 evaluation and the highest White score among the options at 53.5%. The variation g3 d6 Bg2 g6 d4 cxd4 leads to kingside fianchetto play. Alternatively, Be2 accounts for 4.7% of games (102K recorded, +0.33 evaluation) and scores 50.3% following the continuation Be2 Nc6 c3 Nf6 e5 Nd5.

What else gets played here

Move choices from 2.19M games in the opening book, with the engine's evaluation of each.

MoveEvaluationPlayedGamesWhite score
c3+0.3845%978K53%
Nc3+0.2730%669K49%
c4Engine pick+0.4515%327K53%
g3+0.405%119K53%
Be2+0.335%102K50%

Evaluation in pawns, from White's point of view: + favours White, − favours Black. White score: White's wins plus half the draws, over the games where that move was played and the result is known.

Frequently asked questions

What is the best move for White in the Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation?

White to play. Stockfish recommends c4 (Pawn c2 → c4), evaluated at +0.45: White is slightly better.

How often does this position occur?

This position has been reached 2.19M times in the opening book.